Concrete-Burden
0x6d8c4e9adf5748af82dabe2c6225207770d6b4fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$262.95
Total PnL
$42.96
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?
1300 shares @ 5.5¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$209.30
$137.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
38 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.47
$-11.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.98
$2.75
- NO
Chirayu Rana divorced?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.98
$1.48
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 16?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
3 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$2.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 39.3¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.88
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.15Jun 11, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain in Atlanta on June 9?$1.02Jun 11, 11:15 UTC
- CONVERSIONPeru Presidential Election Winner$1.00Jun 10, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 10, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$5.00Jun 10, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$13.47Jun 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.02Jun 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.03Jun 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Denver on June 10?$1.00Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Boston on June 10?$1.00Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in San Francisco on June 10?$1.00Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Atlanta on June 10?$1.00Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Dallas on June 10?$1.00Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Central Park on June 9?$1.01Jun 8, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C or below on June 9?$1.01Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Atlanta on June 9?$1.00Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYZcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?$30.00Jun 6, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.