Leading-Hash
0x6d95ec32748add489e3f3d91c826c1f9d03ab612
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$119.19
Total PnL
$-122.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
90 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$89.91
$2.07
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
30 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.28
$0.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
121 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-60.27
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Bears
99 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-49.50
- UP
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on October 28?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.58
- DOLPHINS
Ravens vs. Dolphins
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$87.84Mar 25, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$28.75Mar 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$1.3KFeb 20, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$1.3KFeb 19, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 23?$0.00Feb 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$28.88Feb 19, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 23?$65.25Feb 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 23?$22.71Jan 23, 09:12 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down on January 23?$65.25Jan 23, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$576.39Dec 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$576.98Dec 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$576.98Dec 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$578.26Dec 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPackers vs. Bears$52.47Dec 20, 12:40 UTC
- SPLITPackers vs. Bears$99.00Dec 20, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on December 6?$107.80Dec 20, 12:38 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down on December 6?$107.80Dec 6, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMNavy vs. Memphis$107.81Dec 6, 06:24 UTC
- SPLITNavy vs. Memphis$107.81Nov 27, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$107.00Nov 27, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $282.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.