Irritating-Men
0x6d9673fc4e0430add1db58765f664cfb4084dc92
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$14.57
Total PnL
$-9.94
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
September temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?
15 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2025$14.57
$5.57
- YES
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
213 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?
85 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$1.10Oct 26, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeptember temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?$0.08Oct 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?$0.40Oct 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSeptember temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?$0.20Oct 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnnual inflation above 2.2% in September?$0.17Oct 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSeptember temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?$0.17Oct 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnnual inflation above 2.2% in September?$0.33Oct 10, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 10, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeptember temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?$1.00Oct 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeptember temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?$1.00Oct 7, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$2.00Oct 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$2.00Oct 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$2.00Oct 7, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$2.07Oct 2, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$2.00Oct 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$0.50Oct 1, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEM草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?$0.13Oct 1, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?$4.00Sep 30, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeptember temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?$8.00Sep 30, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.