0x6d967d30e89cca63396b4bb35824b6709ae72af8
0x6d967d30e89cca63396b4bb35824b6709ae72af8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.82
Total PnL
$-73.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
163 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.82
$-9.18
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump issue 8–10 executive orders in July?
29 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?
23 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-18.66
- NO
Will Donald Trump issue 14–16 executive orders in July?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
5 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.49Mar 21, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$6.24Dec 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$20.10Sep 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?$1.00Aug 30, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$1.28Aug 30, 07:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 05:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$1.22Aug 12, 16:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$2.00Aug 8, 15:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $12.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.