Bite-Sized-Risk
0x6d9a4b5a5f8368cc8489b19b97cc948b9014f6da
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.40
Total PnL
$-943.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-939.90
- GUARDIANS
Guardians vs. White Sox
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- HEAT
Hawks vs. Heat
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 27, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?$1.00Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.06Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.09Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.10Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.23Jan 27, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$897.23Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.23Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$8.46Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$8.46Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$8.46Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$8.46Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.60Nov 4, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 6?$1.00Oct 13, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$1.00Oct 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $82.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.