Subtle-Rod
0x6daef00f6881b9542e785f06e0f2494876fd52d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$35.21
Total PnL
$-56.18
Realised
$1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.81
$0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.41
$0.31
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$5.56
$0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.92
$-3.08
- YES
Will NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.10 October 27-November 2?
1727 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 27-November 2?
934 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$6.80May 30, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31? $5.55May 22, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$6.11May 22, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$3.04May 22, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$10.17May 22, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$9.27May 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$2.42May 15, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$5.10May 15, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$5.10May 15, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$6.49May 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$0.08May 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$4.00May 10, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$6.24May 10, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$6.29May 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$1.92May 4, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$6.27May 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$2.90May 4, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.95May 4, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.90Apr 26, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$6.00Apr 26, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 10:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".