0x6db00abc3ad892bc5d8d66c61d79d38520eb5d8b
0x6db00abc3ad892bc5d8d66c61d79d38520eb5d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.12
Total PnL
$-5.27
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nets
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.00
$0.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. 76ers
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Feb 28, 01:53 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.10Feb 27, 11:32 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Thunder$0.27Feb 27, 10:11 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Thunder$0.72Feb 27, 09:42 UTC
- SPLITNuggets vs. Thunder$1.00Feb 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.64Feb 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.82Feb 27, 09:29 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.01Feb 27, 09:28 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.01Feb 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.08Feb 27, 09:27 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 27, 09:25 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.10Feb 27, 09:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Feb 27, 09:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.01Feb 27, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.17Feb 27, 06:03 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.54Feb 27, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.