Bumpy-Alligator
0x6db2af0fb77af3c3238ded55df9461d00d48c6e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
2784 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 13?
2091 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
273 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
180 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
93 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
72 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
58 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.26
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$10.00Apr 18, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?$0.00Apr 15, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$10.00Apr 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?$10.00Apr 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 14, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$10.00Apr 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$13.00Apr 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 13?$14.00Apr 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$12.13Apr 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.50Apr 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.00Apr 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?$3.02Apr 9, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$40.00Apr 6, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $14.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.