Wasteful-Jet
0x6dbaac4a5fcf80482dcf534423d1283287e689bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.48
Realised
$1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
251 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Jack Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
205 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Mitchell Marner win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Wyatt Johnston win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
188 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Ethan Del Mastro win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
177 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
172 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$0.01Apr 25, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-24?$0.01Apr 25, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC: O/U 3.5$0.01Apr 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of April 20 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of April 20 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of April 20 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of April 20 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?$0.01Apr 24, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.