Hard-Breath-Upward
0x6dbc010e54105b398b085292e3c80fda029d7244
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-308.55
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
761 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-276.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
536 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-310.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
515 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-278.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
515 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
452 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-211.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
431 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
398 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10PM ET$57.04Jul 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.19Jul 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.21Jul 22, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$13.14Jul 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$25.39Jul 22, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10.18Jul 22, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5.17Jul 22, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$15.51Jul 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.21Jul 22, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$42.12Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$10.31Jul 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.08Jul 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.62Jul 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10PM ET$3.33Jul 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$16.96Jul 22, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.50Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.40Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.45Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10PM ET$25.86Jul 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.09Jul 22, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.