Complicated-Clause
0x6dbc496036ff94d5e7b1ff38331af68ae66218a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$885.78
Total PnL
$-23.4K
Realised
$-252.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?
191 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$161.26
$0.95
- YES
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5
286 shares @ 51.6¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$148.70
$1.20
- YES
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5
206 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$102.01
$-3.19
- YES
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5
198 shares @ 53.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$101.81
$-4.76
- YES
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5
173 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$99.29
$-0.82
- YES
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5
194 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$91.09
$-7.75
- YES
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5
173 shares @ 56.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$91.03
$-6.76
- YES
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
183 shares @ 53.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$90.60
$-6.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
3753 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?
2636 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$38.07May 24, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?$12.05May 24, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?$38.31May 24, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?$18.07May 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.01May 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.89May 24, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.96May 24, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00May 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$10.05May 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$8.65May 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$3.40May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$8.24May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$33.86May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$34.00May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$36.77May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$31.31May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$36.97May 24, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$30.92May 24, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5$70.40May 24, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5$2.90May 24, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".