Organic-Leash
0x6dbcce705e2e2fc20eaa9f8b978d964dc80faea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$4.79
Total PnL
$-46.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-1.26
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 22, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 30, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Jul 30, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Jul 30, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania's court annul the presidential election?$1.00Jul 30, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?$1.00Jul 30, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?$1.00Jul 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Jul 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Jul 30, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US airdrop aid into Gaza?$1.00Jul 30, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel before August?$1.00Jul 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$1.00Jul 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 30, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Jul 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$8.49Jul 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$1.00Jul 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?$1.00Jul 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione mistrial?$1.00Jul 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$1.00Jul 30, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".