Striped-Goodbye
0x6dc26061a0b6fd501e1204b39f1a19da39f59a22
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$29.19
Total PnL
$-2.26
Realised
$-2.50
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
11 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.19
$0.22
- NO
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.94
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$4.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.70
$0.00
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$4.29Mar 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$463.61Mar 25, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$470.00Mar 24, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$201.80Mar 24, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 24, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$260.00Mar 23, 17:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$202.00Mar 22, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.18Mar 21, 05:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 21, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 20, 09:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 20, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$202.00Mar 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$202.00Mar 19, 07:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$202.00Mar 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$202.59Mar 18, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $162.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.