Medium-Subsidence
0x6dc3cef4b2d14d33bf65ed79d30de07187f12a13
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$755.00
$-5.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
200 shares @ 89.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$189.90
$10.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$133.00
$1.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.00
$37.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$101.00
$1.00
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.31
$0.32
- NO
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?
2740 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
1005 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-492.39
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$132.00May 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$100.00May 30, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$18.00May 30, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$0.99May 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$54.22May 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$25.78May 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$114.97May 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$64.03May 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$103.09May 29, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$143.60May 29, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$760.00May 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$169.98May 27, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$133.38May 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$23.00May 26, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$12.67May 26, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.60May 26, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$7.73May 26, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$7.0KMay 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$5.0KMay 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $501.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".