Expensive-March
0x6ddf174893ee11329a3d48fdd5036b70b3b5cf1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.72
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
80 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
50 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?
32 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
3 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.50Dec 10, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$1.08Nov 23, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$0.99Nov 22, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.12Nov 21, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.10Nov 21, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 19, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?$2.40Nov 18, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.05Nov 15, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Nov 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?$1.20Nov 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.71Nov 14, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.06Nov 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.00Nov 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.50Nov 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$3.22Nov 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?$1.00Nov 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$1.00Nov 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$0.34Nov 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$2.00Nov 12, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".