Loose-Chaplain
0x6dee448d049176dda63bf6257178fc364c3d37b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-967.13
Realised
$-70.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
14208 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.06
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 36 and 38 million views on day 3?
3654 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
3300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-165.73
- NO
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?
1623 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
1554 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-127.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 32 million views on day 3?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
1163 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$9.80Mar 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.00Mar 15, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 16?$4.61Mar 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$18.60Mar 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 16?$1.84Mar 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$9.00Mar 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$10.80Mar 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$0.95Mar 7, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$1.00Mar 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 3, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$3.00Mar 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.07Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$15.03Mar 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$0.53Mar 3, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$0.36Mar 3, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$0.07Mar 3, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".