Slow-Manifestation
0x6df1bd42411b29f0d263f58da72c9efdfa54ea12
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$24.4K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$51.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75000 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.9K
$-386.93
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7500 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.4K
$-112.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.7K
$-425.00
- NO
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.7K
$-50.00
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.1K
$-367.50
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8332 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.6K
$-291.62
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$-30.00
- NO
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2277 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.0K
$22.77
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5961 shares @ 10.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.51
$-253.33
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5402 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$94.54
$-985.90
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.20Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$53.54Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$22.20Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.70Jun 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.02Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$13.66Jun 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$70.30Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$22.20Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$22.20Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$22.50Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$4.44Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.80Jun 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$14.23Jun 13, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.80Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$25.61Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$29.60Jun 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$11.10Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$10.53Jun 13, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.