0x6df3f004a2ebb65150ad79cdf564ce0f7fe97bb1
0x6df3f004a2ebb65150ad79cdf564ce0f7fe97bb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$24.12
Total PnL
$-117.28
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Max Homa win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$2.01
$0.02
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Homa win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 21, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Homa win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Homa win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?$0.00Jul 21, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.