Sweaty-Siege
0x6df8aa2cf26968b2f207dbed6a392ac05a7211b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-759.92
Realised
$-12.83
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
218 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
183 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
126 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
125 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
98 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
79 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.09
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
44 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
37 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$151.89Aug 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$170.58Aug 21, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$151.61Aug 21, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$201.14Aug 21, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$243.37Aug 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$202.50Aug 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$185.13Aug 21, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$151.99Aug 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$154.76Aug 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$146.71Aug 21, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$131.64Aug 21, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$128.64Aug 21, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$80.65Aug 21, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$75.37Aug 21, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$64.74Aug 21, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$50.80Aug 21, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $87.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.