Miserly-Smog
0x6e0383c97db0638fd869d8279fe6446663a19c10
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-190.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
795 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-21.22
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
316 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?
251 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-31.67
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Oleg Gaidukevich win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
117 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
70 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$16.15Mar 24, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.04Mar 24, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$15.00Mar 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$1.57Jan 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$10.00Jan 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on October 31 2025?$14.47Dec 10, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.12Oct 31, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on October 31 2025?$13.02Oct 31, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.54Oct 31, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$3.20Oct 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.50Oct 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$5.00Oct 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$11.00Jun 1, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$25.00Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$77.42May 18, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $28.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".