Welcome-Pledge
0x6e0629da45eb6d2923136b06ef29825c3c3e4065
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
8900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.90
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?
8750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.75
- NO
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 9?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 14?
175 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
175 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 16?
175 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$0.69Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$9.42Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-5.5)$9.45Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.54Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$39.97Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$80.17Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?$10.66Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$10.95Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?$13.55Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?$15.09Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$18.18Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?$18.18Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$19.04Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?$20.00Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$34.41Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 28?$55.62Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$89.62Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$104.00Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?$9.85Jan 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$11.26Jan 18, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $22.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".