Genuine-Sorbet-Tip
0x6e0a4b03b48324506c868fe45f1d2e3d3ea8db34
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$297.69
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$436.56
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$105.17
$5.17
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$100.85
$0.85
- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$91.67
$-8.33
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
3988 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-349.30
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
2164 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
1028 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-103.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$103.55Jul 12, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$104.10Jul 12, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$102.05Jul 12, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$103.39Jul 12, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$104.77Jul 12, 02:37 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.62Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.55Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$2.1KJul 7, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$591.77Jul 7, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$102.82Jul 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$219.98Jul 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$255.70Jul 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$203.60Jul 7, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$510.35Jul 7, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$256.28Jul 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$102.76Jul 7, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.0KJul 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$99.99Jul 7, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$102.61Jul 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$102.49Jul 4, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $323.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.