Monthly-Caution
0x6e0c2a8a793b857a1c02b76ec8eeaadc7ed04169
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-134.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
20 shares @ 4.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$20.00
$19.06
- NO
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Ted Dabrowski win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
140 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- NO
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
140 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- YES
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- NO
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
110 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
110 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will no one dissent the March Fed decision?
110 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will Partido Popular win 44+ seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
90 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.78
- YES
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?
90 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Óscar Sogliano win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.75Mar 15, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 5.5m and 6m?$0.14Mar 15, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 5m and 5.5m?$0.13Mar 15, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?$0.50Mar 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfredo Solares win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.40Mar 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$0.36Mar 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.42Mar 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$0.34Mar 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be at least 6m?$0.19Mar 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.24Mar 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jhonny Fernández win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.33Mar 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Coca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.27Mar 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$0.24Mar 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$0.15Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$0.62Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.50Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Dabrowski win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$0.43Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$0.23Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$0.33Mar 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the March Fed decision?$1.00Mar 15, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.