0x6e0d5c4245a418587129195e7a527390c7f34483
0x6e0d5c4245a418587129195e7a527390c7f34483
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.97
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- TORONTO TEMPO
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8PM ET
1036 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8PM ET
218 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 14, 2PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$31.84Jul 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$8.56Jul 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$7.58Jul 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$12.75Jul 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$13.98Jul 15, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$16.73Jul 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$1.08Jul 15, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$17.65Jul 15, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$11.64Jul 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$12.17Jul 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$12.75Jul 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-15?$0.95Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLCordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$11.54Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$13.56Jul 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$0.94Jul 15, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$1.04Jul 15, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.04Jul 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda$14.72Jul 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda$13.35Jul 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$9.95Jul 15, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.