Forceful-Consequence
0x6e1a6cfd9178e8fcb7ddc0c636f4c2e2a1a3ab82
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?$9.51Feb 27, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?$10.00Feb 27, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$2.00Feb 24, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?$0.00Feb 22, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $5.00Feb 22, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Feb 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$2.00Feb 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on February 28?$3.17Feb 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?$20.00Feb 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Jan 31, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$5.00Jan 31, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $4.00Jan 31, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Jan 31, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$5.00Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.