Respectful-Clan
0x6e1d5040d0ac73709b0621f620d2a60b80d2d0fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$471.4K
Realised
$534.7K
Win rate
96%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?
62210 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
47810 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-819.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?
32203 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-61.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?
21811 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-982.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
21177 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?
17119 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
15060 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
13391 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?
12517 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-121.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?
9595 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-71.61
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$287.69Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$0.10Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 7?$0.97Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?$5.24Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$31.08Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7?$130.81Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7?$210.05Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?$0.62Jun 6, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 6?$13.02Jun 6, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6?$500.00Jun 6, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?$2.5KJun 6, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$100.00Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6?$116.00Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 6?$318.62Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?$145.11Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 5?$230.02Jun 5, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5?$130.00Jun 5, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$94.62Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?$39.15Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 5?$150.00Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
78 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $63.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.