Willing-Scimitar
0x6e1d5c11784687ea3edcfdb81811bd2d0a848ff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.30
Total PnL
$-28.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$-4.18
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
105 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.48Feb 20, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 17, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$9.98Feb 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 17?$1.00Feb 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 17?$1.00Feb 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?$5.00Feb 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?$1.00Feb 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.00Feb 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 10:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.