Quick-Witted-Trick
0x6e2648c397aa1dfd6027c2956fa88c4ccefd0e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.41
Total PnL
$-248.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$-5.59
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
1910 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
261 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
176 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.50
- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
62 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.35Mar 6, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$6.00Mar 5, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$20.00Mar 3, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 2, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 2, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 2, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$19.23Mar 2, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$52.63Mar 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$5.00Feb 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$4.00Feb 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMOver $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$17.99Feb 17, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?$24.00Jan 31, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$5.00Jan 29, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$34.13Jan 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$0.66Jan 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$1.65Jan 28, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$5.55Jan 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$3.14Jan 28, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.