Velvety-Surprise
0x6e285f6f40dc6e8c5067e2a3c005eaeaf048340a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-325.73
Realised
$21.43
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
15502 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
9833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
6717 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 13?
2055 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MIAMI HERETICS
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner
1999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 12?
1859 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1528 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1518 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.08Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.10Feb 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.63Feb 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.12Feb 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.51Feb 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.50Feb 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.11Feb 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.40Feb 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.55Feb 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.60Feb 15, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$4.30Feb 15, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.76Feb 15, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.12Feb 15, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.16Feb 15, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.20Feb 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.25Feb 15, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.23Feb 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.10Feb 14, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".