Reasonable-Goose
0x6e2ca758f5d1e712bca94512ef502f1641c8bd51
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$-393.50
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
2341 shares @ 79.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.3K
$461.11
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
1302 shares @ 87.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.3K
$163.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
711 shares @ 65.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$702.11
$237.81
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
270 shares @ 23.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$155.25
$93.15
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
75 shares @ 94.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$74.81
$3.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
121 shares @ 48.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$53.99
$-4.94
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
9342 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
8228 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
5403 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-824.57
- NO
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
3852 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$51.01Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$22.64Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$30.54Jul 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$13.42Jul 27, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$19.13Jul 27, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$65.45Jul 27, 13:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.49Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$114.87Jul 24, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$4.62Jul 24, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$294.99Jul 24, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$154.38Jul 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$50.84Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$117.15Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$522.39Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$190.09Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$60.19Jul 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$12.36Jul 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$25.59Jul 23, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$119.35Jul 23, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
$6.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $103.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.