Bleak-Leadership
0x6e3dc52d8fe3fa8aae186fd5612c1b59b3239961
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$41.65
Total PnL
$-376.81
Realised
$0.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
157 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.07
$-14.93
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.17
$-40.83
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.42
$-16.58
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
223 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
177 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
151 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
104 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$28.00May 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$20.00May 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$7.76May 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$40.54May 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$28.00May 20, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$27.90May 20, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$31.00May 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.50May 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$10.00May 4, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 4, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.69May 4, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$44.00May 3, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 3, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 3, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00May 3, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$5.00May 3, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$20.00May 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$50.00May 3, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00May 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$176.62May 2, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $30.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.