Unfolded-Copy
0x6e44683f435e8405c744871811359126d1a42a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$0.47
Total PnL
$-151.75
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
98 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 11?
97 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 10?
52 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 20?
29 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 24?
28 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 21?$1.06Jul 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?$1.04Jul 21, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 20?$1.06Jul 20, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.77Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 19?$1.89Jul 20, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.15Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.03Jul 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 19?$1.03Jul 19, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 19?$1.03Jul 19, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 17?$3.13Jul 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 17?$1.07Jul 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 17?$1.05Jul 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$2.10Jul 16, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 15?$1.06Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 15?$1.06Jul 15, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.