Naive-Membrane
0x6e4b9487df86f46b5462e85dce88d0b0b64771f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-785.29
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
11038 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-25.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
4502 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-101.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3043 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-400.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3026 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3008 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3006 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-289.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2647 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2502 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-615.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2047 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?$3.23Jan 30, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?$1.00Jan 27, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?$0.93Jan 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?$1.00Jan 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?$1.00Jan 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?$1.00Jan 27, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$15.23Jan 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$63.38Jan 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$2.00Jan 27, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.80Jan 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$131.00Jan 26, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$142.00Jan 26, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$79.30Jan 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$27.20Jan 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$2.60Jan 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$7.00Jan 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$20.00Jan 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$14.00Jan 20, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$19.00Jan 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$90.00Jan 20, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".