Spanish-Struggle
0x6e592a326c7f47687be0580bf9f173feeb30152e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-319.52
Realised
$16.87
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
3368 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
2450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
576 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5$5.21Jul 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 28, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye release BULLY by April 3?$1.00Mar 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.30Mar 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.26Mar 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.00Mar 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.