0x6e594fc485119bc765cf4eb1b441bcce38df8ec5
0x6e594fc485119bc765cf4eb1b441bcce38df8ec5
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$10.25
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-38.96
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- NO
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.25
$4.05
- NO
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.37
$0.92
- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.63
$-3.08
- YES
Will Prodzy win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition?
510 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-90.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$19.30Feb 23, 02:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$33.13Feb 4, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Copper (HG) settle over $6.20 on the final trading day of February 2026?$27.00Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Copper (HG) settle over $7.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?$20.25Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$60.00Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.50Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19.00Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$80.00Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.40Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$99.89Feb 4, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 4, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 3, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 2, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 1, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 31, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Copper (HG) settle over $6.20 on the final trading day of February 2026?$50.00Jan 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$45.00Jan 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$94.00Jan 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$93.00Jan 30, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $44.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.