Feisty-Neck
0x6e59c2715428b829903dd4435af29e0f6e6ec102
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$36.74
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 6AM ET
771 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-432.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8PM ET
556 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-331.51
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - September 26, 6PM ET
553 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-298.75
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - September 26, 2PM ET
518 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-289.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
504 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-201.66
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 2AM ET
405 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-219.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET
402 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
380 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-196.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8AM ET
358 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-195.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas$47.06Mar 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5$7.27Mar 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-22?$7.27Mar 22, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-22?$6.63Mar 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5$6.62Mar 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5$4.05Mar 22, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-03-22?$4.06Mar 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-03-22?$2.97Mar 22, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5$2.97Mar 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5$2.11Mar 22, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.88Mar 22, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5$1.23Mar 22, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$17.64Mar 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$17.84Mar 21, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$14.52Mar 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$14.54Mar 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$90.64Mar 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$16.56Mar 21, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.00Mar 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$85.05Mar 21, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.