Artistic-Initiative
0x6e6375b9d755a1b2a3bc8cc80ef07deac1368ce3
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-363.05
Realised
$-57.26
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7261 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-85.10
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3268 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.63
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?
2653 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.12
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
1323 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.14Jul 6, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.32Jun 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.77Jun 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.64Jun 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$2.32Jun 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$1.26Jun 8, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.78Jun 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.75Jun 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.30May 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.53May 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.03May 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.15May 26, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.09May 26, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.01May 25, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.03May 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.17May 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.26May 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.99May 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.08May 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.69May 1, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.