Wretched-Subtitle
0x6e6db82dfd15aea396bb51f8737781fc9fb25c79
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$43.49
Total PnL
$-1.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
14 shares @ 97.5¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.29
$-0.36
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
12 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.93
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.62
$0.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
4 shares @ 85.7¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$0.99Jul 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.00Jul 29, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China become the #2 global art market in 2026?$3.01Jul 29, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.02Jul 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$6.03Jul 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$2.00Jul 29, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.25Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$12.00Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in June?$26.03Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$67.05Jul 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$17.96Jun 22, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.