Writhing-Auction
0x6e7096e80e47f183fa0b359645b078249ffab51c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$555.22
Total PnL
$6.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
157 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$157.26
$1.26
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
152 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$151.98
$1.98
- NO
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
135 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$134.52
$1.52
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$111.47
$1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$156.00Jul 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?$133.00Jul 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$150.08Jul 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$110.07Jul 20, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$72.93Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$101.40Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$109.47Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$262.63Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$100.06Jun 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$89.55Jun 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$105.17Jun 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$160.00Jun 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$260.00Jun 8, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$162.27Jun 8, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$172.55Jun 8, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$202.43Jun 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$171.00May 15, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$200.00May 15, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$160.00May 15, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$242.42May 15, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $201.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.