Scaly-Bankruptcy
0x6e7e17cd09e2f9403dc967fdac7475b0ff762a50
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$781.91
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1786 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$354.46
$-145.53
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13192 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$270.43
$170.44
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9658 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$62.77
$-37.22
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3740 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.53
$-64.47
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4545 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.55
$-70.45
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.17
$-70.83
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
15611 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
7692 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
741 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
645 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?$512.65Jul 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$517.23Jul 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.0KJul 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.1KJul 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.4KJul 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.7KJul 18, 18:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.