Noted-Reclamation
0x6e830ca79aef4e69c7f0e0c28715c155791c91b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-28.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on November 25?
996 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.37
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
39 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2025 July hottest on record?
24 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 11PM ET
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $100 on November 25?$7.37Nov 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 5AM ET$3.51Jul 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?$1.00Jul 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?$1.00Jul 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00Jul 26, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$1.00Jul 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 16, 11PM ET$1.00Jul 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 9PM ET$0.75Jul 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 9PM ET$0.75Jul 14, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 12, 10PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.00Jul 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 12, 10PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET$0.20Jul 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET$0.30Jul 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET$0.50Jul 13, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 12, 10PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Jul 8, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET$0.00Jul 8, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.