Sophisticated-Outcome
0x6e8abba072a3da9782835670a6ff4b64a6ab093b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$40.23
Total PnL
$-779.95
Realised
$21.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?
235 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- CANADIENS
Lightning vs. Canadiens
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- CANADIENS
Sabres vs. Canadiens
171 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Lightning
158 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.91
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Sabres
133 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- CANADIENS
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
114 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- CANADIENS
Sabres vs. Canadiens
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.09Jun 2, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$40.78May 23, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$81.63May 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$40.61May 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens $102.63May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$20.49May 17, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$25.46May 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$5.10May 17, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$25.51May 17, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Sabres$125.62May 15, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$25.50May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$25.38May 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?$101.00May 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?$25.57May 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$30.66May 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSabres vs. Canadiens$99.90May 11, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $60.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".