Graceful-Halibut
0x6e8bed7833575d961ec99746caeda3045ef13070
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-717.59
Realised
$-12.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1053 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
316 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?
223 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-122.73
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
217 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
208 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-133.42
- YES
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?
158 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-56.43
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?
155 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-91.41
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?
118 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.95Jun 2, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$13.92May 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$2.61May 26, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$7.44May 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$32.43May 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.55May 26, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$45.14May 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$23.36May 26, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$23.23May 26, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$23.02May 26, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$22.63May 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$27.53May 25, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$27.89May 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$31.28May 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$10.00May 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$12.00May 25, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00May 25, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.53May 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$4.28May 25, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$19.40May 25, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $67.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".