Tragic-Dictionary
0x6e910a8715dfed7d9ede4dab89de0a5b7aae42e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-730.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
28500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-66.95
- NO
Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 8?
989 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
555 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 6?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?
472 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?
439 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.97
- YES
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?
429 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
346 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?
302 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$57.69Sep 27, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.38Sep 27, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$14.14Sep 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$10.00Aug 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$15.00Aug 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$5.00Aug 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$15.00Aug 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$6.00Aug 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$25.00Aug 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$27.36Aug 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$21.31Aug 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$40.00Aug 20, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$67.57Aug 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$8.00Aug 19, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$10.71Aug 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$7.16Aug 18, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Aug 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$140.00Aug 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$35.07Aug 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?$6.83Aug 18, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 27, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".