Healthy-Product
0x6e95019d16cd1592c88b7c3892c7419e28cf1218
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.2K
Realised
$45.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
310000 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-76.2K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
110000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
60000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.0K
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?
40858 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?
30000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.0K
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?
15747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-29.16
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
10626 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-31.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$10.0KApr 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $455 in March?$10.4KApr 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$11.2KApr 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $368 in March?$13.4KApr 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?$55.7KApr 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?$55.6KMar 26, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $368 in March?$13.3KMar 26, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$10.0KMar 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix dip to $0 in March?$11.2KMar 26, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $455 in March?$10.4KMar 26, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$500.00Mar 26, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?$16.26Jan 30, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$499.00Jan 29, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$450.0KJan 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$150.00Jan 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$49.9KJan 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$99.7KJan 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$99.7KJan 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$11.0KJan 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$8.2KJan 28, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.