Prestigious-Grandma
0x6e964e3792a37ecec6121e9456547bd35579ea1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$85.44
Total PnL
$-859.09
Realised
$-272.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?
192 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$85.44
$2.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
1902 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-169.79
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
401 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-222.38
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
163 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
129 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
66 shares @ 87.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?$42.46Aug 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?$42.46Aug 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$82.65Feb 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$8.72Feb 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$89.98Feb 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$46.89Feb 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$0.07Feb 20, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.18Feb 20, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.30Feb 20, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 20, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$34.66Feb 20, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$339.59Feb 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$80.00Jan 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$80.00Jan 30, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$500.00Jan 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$57.48Nov 6, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $77.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.