0x6e9bb91a2baf0077b2f524d2bfdcc6b04504f703
0x6e9bb91a2baf0077b2f524d2bfdcc6b04504f703
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$39.29
Total PnL
$-367.07
Realised
$-3.93
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- OVER
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
17 shares @ 48.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$16.59
$8.59
- NO
Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?
11 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
8 shares @ 73.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$8.17
$2.17
- NEW YORK METS
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by more than 25%?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-1.97
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?$2.02Jul 7, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?$2.02Jul 7, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?$2.02Jul 7, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.08Jul 7, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?$2.02Jul 7, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?$2.02Jul 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$2.02Jul 7, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$2.07Jul 7, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.02Jul 7, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5$2.06Jul 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$2.05Jul 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.03Jul 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5$2.04Jul 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5$2.04Jul 7, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5$2.03Jul 7, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$2.03Jul 7, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$2.05Jul 7, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.05Jul 7, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$0.79Jul 7, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.10Jul 7, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.