Composed-Mix
0x6e9f7b1f3663e4c8564252f07c562816db48de68
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12828 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-115.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
10003 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?
6740 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6091 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-66.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
5481 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
4510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.02
- YES
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
4419 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.36
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
4167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$50.00Jul 19, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$25.02Jul 19, 21:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$269.63Jul 15, 19:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.60Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$207.18Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$154.82Jul 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$52.62Jul 14, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$150.67Jul 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$149.90Jul 14, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$183.08Jul 14, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?$154.05Jul 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$169.54Jul 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?$130.75Jul 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$130.25Jul 14, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$769.23Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $131.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.