Pricey-Pleat
0x6ea85e8d04235d2f7c84232a1c3a3733ad7044c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-993.70
Realised
$12.83
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
235 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-82.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
117 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-77.88
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 17?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
110 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
104 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$15.97Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.05Jul 2, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.05Jul 2, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.05Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.05Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.30Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.23Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.47Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.47Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.52Jul 2, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.05Jul 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.52Jul 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.52Jul 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.47Jul 2, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.47Jul 2, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.32Jul 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.17Jul 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.47Jul 2, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.