Tricky-Lawsuit
0x6eace0df67e22918ed973baca5c12d99889cee56
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-21.74
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
485 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
427 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
359 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
324 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
315 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
235 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
183 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
159 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-42.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
109 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$7.81Jul 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$7.64Jul 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$7.94Jul 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.62Jul 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$15.56Jul 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$5.91Jul 14, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$20.00Jul 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$10.42Jul 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$4.40Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.50Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.10Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$10.45Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$8.08Jul 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$5.20Jul 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$10.38Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET$10.41Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$6.95Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$3.05Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$10.00Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.01Jul 13, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.